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For week 20 - 26 January 2020
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Weekly Market Overview
By QSL Business Graduate Elliott Apel

Indicative ICE 11 Prices
 
Season AUD/MT* Weekly Change
2019 460.21 -0.01%
2020 464.05 0.75%
2021 454.96 1.60%
2022 444.51 1.41%
*These figures are indicative of available ICE 11 prices as at 28 January 2020 and reflect the weighted average AUD/mt price. The prices have been adjusted to include Over-the-Counter margin fees charged by banking institutions and so may differ from daily prices quoted by the ICE 11 Exchange and/or other Marketers of Growers' Economic Interest in Sugar. Values also do not account for any adjustments resulting from local Grower-Miller pricing arrangements. 

Sugar

  • The MAR20 ICE #11 contract pushed further towards 15 USc/lb last week, making its high on the Thursday at 14.90 USc/lb and its low on Friday at 14.26 USc/lb, before closing the week at 14.39 USc/lb.
  • Indian sugar exports have been lower than expected, despite a government export subsidy of $145.58/tonne. This is primarily due to Maharashtra state expecting much lower sugar production this season.
  • The Commitments of Traders report as of 21 January 2020 showed speculators continued to buy contracts and have reached a 2-year record 111,000 lot net-long position (Those with a net-long position generally buy sugar contracts in the belief that the price will increase).

Currency

  • The Australian Dollar fell slightly over the course of the week, closing the period at 0.6842 AUD/USD.
  • Australia's December Labor Force data surprised the market, with a 28,900 gain in total employment and unemployment falling to 5.1%.
  • The Coronavirus outbreak from China dragged down the Chinese Yuan and Australian Dollar. This may affect local tourism in the short to medium term.
  • The Australian inflation CPI (Consumer Price Index) was slightly stronger than expected at 0.7 quarter-on-quarter, compared to the predicted 0.6. This measure tracks the inflation on a weighted average price for a basket of consumer goods and services, such as transportation, food and medical care.

Jargon Buster

Who are Speculators?

Speculators in the ICE #11 market are participants who do not physically hold or want sugar. Instead, they attempt to make a profit by correctly predicting price movements. Speculators are ready to buy or sell instantly on any new information, bringing extra liquidity to the market. 

QSL is Australia's largest and most experienced raw sugar marketer.

This report contains information of a general or summary nature. While all care is taken in the preparation of this report, the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the document is not guaranteed. The update on marketing and pricing activity does not constitute financial, investment advice. You should seek your own financial advice. Nothing contained in this report should be relied upon as a representation as to future matters. Information about past performance is not an indication of future performance. QSL does not accept any responsibility to any person for the decisions and actions taken by that person with respect to any of the information contained in this report. You have received this email as you are subscribed to receive newsletters and other marketing material from QSL. We take your privacy very seriously. View our Privacy Statement on QSL’s website. When you make enquiries of QSL or sign up for QSL news or information, you thereby consent to QSL collecting and using the personal information that you provide to QSL in the operation of QSL’s business, which may include direct marketing. You may opt out of this service at any time if you no longer wish to receive any communications from us by using the unsubscribe function at the bottom of this email.

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QSL (Queensland Sugar Limited) · Level 12/348 Edward St · Brisbane, Queensland 4000 · Australia